Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

Most evidence of the consequences of climate change in natural systems has focussed on shifts in mean temperature (1,2), but the effects of extreme climatic events (ECEs) remain far less understood. This is particularly true for very severe ECEs that may occur only once every few decades. Understanding the consequences of these severe events for natural populations is nonetheless critical, since their frequency is predicted to rise under current climate change (3). Here we combine a unique long-term dataset spanning almost five decades of breeding (>20,000 events) and morphological data (>120,000 observations) in adult and nestling great tits (Parus major) and blue tits (Cyanistes caeruleus) with fine-scale temperature records to examine the effects of an unprecedented heatwave in May 2026 on breeding success and morphology. Average temperature during the heatwave (22-29 May 2026) was 7.85 C above the historical record, reaching +10.5 C (+4.32 SD) at its peak (25-26 May). These record-breaking temperatures significantly reduced adult breeding success and nestling bmass relative to expectation in the absence of a heat-wave. Given the heatwave was widespread (Fig. 1A), our findings from a single, exceptionally well-studied population are likely to generalise to other species exposed to the same event, providing key evidence that severe ECEs can substantially harm wild populations.

Rapid evolution allows populations to persist in environments where they would otherwise go extinct. This phenomenon, known as evolutionary rescue, is typically studied in the framework of biological evolution, yet adaptive traits can also arise and spread through cultural evolution. The present study developed a stochastic eco-evolutionary model to compare rescue probabilities through biological and cultural evolution. Transmission bias governed the rescue probability under cultural evolution by setting how readily a rare adaptive trait was copied. Conformity bias suppressed population persistence because a rare trait was the least likely to be copied. Content bias toward the adaptive trait enabled evolutionary rescue when social learning was rapid, but it typically yielded a lower rescue probability than biological evolution. Only anticonformity bias, together with a high social learning rate, exceeded the rescue probability of biological evolution by enabling the adaptive trait to be established more rapidly. These results demonstrate that transmission bias alters the demographic consequences of cultural evolution and highlight the importance of transmission processes in evolutionary rescue theory. Understanding how adaptive behaviours are socially transmitted may also improve predictions of animal population persistence and inform conservation efforts in rapidly changing environments.

Circadian clocks enable mosquitoes to anticipate recurring environmental variations and coordinate behaviors critical for survival and disease transmission, such as locomotion, reproduction, host-seeking, and blood-feeding, with times of day when performance is maximal. In Aedes aegypti, locomotor activity follows a robust diurnal rhythm shaped by endogenous circadian clocks and environmental cues, among which light has been shown to be the primary source of temporal information. While early studies established the role of light in regulating locomotor activity, behavior, oviposition and pupation, it remains unclear which features of a light cycle drive changes in circadian rhythms. This question is increasingly relevant as Ae. aegypti is frequently exposed to artificial and dynamic lighting conditions in urban environments. Here, we investigated how transient changes in light schedules influence circadian rhythms in locomotor activity by systematically manipulating the timing, duration, and direction of light exposure. Using a high-throughput assay, we tested over 1900 individuals, including wild-type and timeless knockout mutants, and showed that a single day of al tered lighting is sufficient to induce robust phase shifts, with no evidence of masking effects. A 6-hour light pulse was sufficient to re-entrain mosquitoes regardless of the timing of the pulse, and phase shifts were primarily driven by the offset time of the light pulse, indicating that light-offset acts as a major zeitgeber. Together, these findings challenge conventional assumptions about the timescale of circadian synchronization and highlight the remarkable plasticity of mosquito behavior in response to anthropogenic light. Eventually, these effects could explain the rapid adaptation of the species to urban environments and have potential consequences for disease transmission dynamics.

Across different modalities, signals play a core role in attracting mates and influencing mating success. In several non-human primate species, females produce calls during mating that are thought to promote male competition over receptive females. The extent to which social system characteristics modulate the function of copulation calls remains less clear. We studied copulation calls in wild Guinea baboons (Papio papio), who live in a multilevel society structured around units in which females associate and mate almost exclusively with a single male. We hypothesised that females use copulation calls as an indirect form of mate competition, with competition increasing in larger units. In addition, we hypothesised that females are more likely to mate again after calling. We analysed 6116 copulations between 2014 and 2025, involving 99 reproductively active females and 78 subadult and adult males. Females produced copulation calls in 72.7% of copulations, with large inter-individual variation. Neither unit size nor its interaction with the female's swelling size or the presence of simultaneously receptive females affected the probability of calling. A survival analysis with a subset of the data (2353 copulations) revealed no effect of calling on the latency to the next mating. Our results render the hypothesis that female Guinea baboons use calls in indirect mate competition unlikely. Yet, the probability of calling varied with sexual swelling size, suggesting that calls signal female fertility. Possibly, Guinea baboon copulation calls represent an evolutionary remnant, no longer under selective pressure, and can be considered index signals of female fertility.

In vertebrates, top-down visual attention is a cognitive process where internal goals modulate the tuning of peripheral sensory systems. This leads to increased perceived contrast to both goal-relevant objects and areas of the visual field that are attended. Such a system would also be beneficial to bees, enabling them to detect and recognise the most profitable flowers in their environment. We tested whether bumblebees possess a top-down attentional system resembling that seen in vertebrates. We trained two groups of bees to collect rewards under high contrast targets. To potentially induce a difference in attention while searching for the targets, one group received a higher concentration of sucrose rewards compared to the other. During tests, the targets were presented with a series of lower contrasts to measure the contrast sensitivity curves of the bees induced by the different learnt reward levels. We predicted a stronger effect of any attention-like process on contrast sensitivity in the high reward group. We also repeated this experiment with the neonicotinoid pesticide imidacloprid dissolved in the sucrose rewards to test whether this affects bee attention. Across all test contrasts, higher rewards significantly increased bee accuracy when locating targets, lowered contrast thresholds and reduced the latency to make first choices. Imidacloprid reduced bee accuracy but did not influence first choice latency. These results suggest that learnt floral rewards can influence bee behavioural contrast sensitivity in a manner resembling vertebrate top-down attention and that imidacloprid may modulate this through effects on their nervous system.

Squid abundance has been reported to increase globally between 1970 and 2010. This increase has been hypothesized to result from two primary factors: the loss of top predators due to overfishing and rising ocean temperatures. The decline in apex predators may lead to the expansion of squid populations either through reduced predation pressure or diminished competition with juvenile predators. Concurrently, increased temperatures could enhance the somatic growth rates of squid, thereby accelerating their population growth. However, empirically disentangling the impacts of predator loss and temperature on squid biomass remains challenging, especially in a food-web context. In this study, we used a size- and trait-based model of upper trophic levels that resolves the ecosystem structure -- biomass and trophic interactions of fish and squid -- for varying depth, temperature, and secondary production, to investigate two hypotheses of the historical expansion of squid, i.e., the effects of predator depletion from fishing and rising temperatures on squid biomass. Our model reveals that intensified fishing of squid predators -- specifically large demersal fish in shelf systems and large pelagic fish in open oceans -- leads to a slight increase in squid biomass. Conversely, elevated temperatures are associated with a decline in squid biomass. This temperature-driven reduction in biomass is attributed to an increased metabolism of squids beyond the available food supply. If historic overfishing on large marine predators continues to be curtailed, we expect a corresponding reduction in global squid biomass and fisheries potential, which could be further exacerbated by rising temperatures.

Heritable bacterial symbionts are pervasive in terrestrial arthropods, often imposing reproductive manipulations to promote their own spread within host populations. Co-infections are common, potentially allowing symbiont co-infectors to hitchhike through a host population. However, adverse thermal conditions can disrupt these communities, particularly when co-infectors vary in their thermal sensitivity. We used a multi-generation experiment to test whether warm (29 {degrees}C) conditions disrupted spread of heritable symbionts through uninfected populations of the spider, Mermessus fradeorum. We tested two common infection combinations: a single infection with a cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI) inducing Rickettsiella or a feminizing co-infection that included a feminizing Wolbachia, the same Rickettsiella, and up to three apparent hitchhikers (two additional Wolbachia strains and Tisiphia). We initiated replicate populations with 1/3 of one infection type and 2/3 uninfected spiders, evaluating population infection rate over 5 spider generations under different temperature regimes. Under cool (21{degrees}C) conditions, Wolbachia feminization drove co-infection to 88% and Rickettsiella CI drove single infection to 83% of host populations. Vertical transmission for all symbionts was high (97-99%) and hitchhiking symbionts also spread effectively. Under warm conditions, feminization and CI efficacy were reduced, and symbionts suffered variably reduced vertical transmission. Warm conditions ultimately destroyed the co-infecting symbiont consortium and impeded symbiont spread. On its own, though, Rickettsiella was still able to increase, despite reduced strength of CI. We hypothesize that contrasting tensions between feminizing spread of the symbiont consortium versus environmentally driven loss of function and transmission may explain observed patterns of mixed infections in field populations of this spider.

Urbanization is reshaping freshwater ecosystems, with well-documented effects across gradients of land-use change, hydrologic alteration, and habitat degradation. However, how biodiversity is organized among neighboring urban aquatic habitats that differ in hydrologic connectivity, disturbance transmission, residence time, management history, and opportunities for species movement is often less clear. This creates a challenge for interpreting urban fish communities at local scales as species occurrence may reflect both contemporary habitat filtering and historical contingencies including native persistence, interbasin transfer, stocking, and nonindigenous introductions. Here we use eDNA detections, historical records, phylogenetic information, and species trait data to investigate the fish assemblages of the Charlotte metropolitan region. We detect a highly mixed fauna that also depicts a strong signature of structured biodiversity profiles across taxonomic, phylogenetic, functional, and life-history dimensions between habitat types. In particular, bounded habitats contained assemblages with larger-bodied species that are fecund and faster to reproduce relative to free-flowing habitats. Species-level occurrence models did not support a simple trait-by-habitat rule. Instead our results demonstrate that urban aquatic habitats can sort historically mixed regional species pools into predictable assemblage-level life-history profiles while simultaneously retaining signatures of evolutionary and historical biogeographic contingency.

The symbiosis with photosynthetic dinoflagellate algae enables corals to build and sustain reef ecosystems. Individual coral polyps hold algal symbionts in their epithelial endoderm cells and lose them under environmental stress, leading to coral bleaching. How the host integrates symbionts into its body plan is not well understood. Here, using a combination of high-resolution imaging, quantitative analysis, and environmental perturbations in the sea anemone Exaiptasia diaphana (Aiptasia) and reef-building coral Pocillopora damicornis, we uncover a spatial organisation of symbionts along the aboral-oral axis of cnidarian polyps that emerges under the long-range translocation of symbionts between host cells through a fluid-filled cavity. The symbiont distribution becomes specifically enriched in the tentacle bud endoderm during Aiptasia polyp morphogenesis. This pattern can form in darkness and with algae-sized inert spheres, suggesting an innate host-intrinsic mechanism. Symbiont-occupied host cells are mechanically constrained within the endoderm and thus unable to rearrange; instead, they go through cycles of symbiont expulsion and re-uptake via the host gastric cavity, with regionally biased rates of these behaviours providing a route to enrich symbionts in the tentacles. Symbiont organisation is remodelled under increased light in adult coral polyps, with a characteristic pattern of reduced tentacle enrichment, lateral clustering and retention in the body column emerging over a timescale of days. Together, our findings reveal that the spatial organisation of symbionts is dynamically regulated in cnidarian host tissues, a capacity that may shape both the establishment of symbiosis and its resilience under environmental change.

Pouring a drink feels deceptively trivial, yet it requires guiding a boundary-free fluid into a vessel without spilling, overflowing, or toppling it -- a task at which robots remain notoriously brittle. How humans achieve this so effortlessly is unknown, as motor control has predominantly been studied in brief, highly constrained laboratory tasks, leaving the control principles underlying ecological tasks largely unknown. Here we measured continuous sensorimotor control during liquid pouring across various containers, vessels, and speed demands. Despite substantial variation in movement trajectories and durations, individuals maintained a strikingly invariant preferred fill level. Counterintuitively, fill level variability decreased at higher fill levels, and precision was maintained even under time pressure. A stochastic optimal control model combining a data-driven nonlinear approximation of flow dynamics with a cost that balanced individualised fill level, energy expenditure and flow-rate reproduced the behaviour. Humans thus pour optimally, given their sensorimotor limits and idiosyncratic notion of "full".

The ocean tides influence key Earth system processes at a range of spatial and temporal scales. It is known that the geometry of ocean basins is the leading controller of tidal energetics, so well-constrained palaeogeographic reconstructions and tidal properties for Earths past are imperative when investigating other Earth system processes. Here, we present a novel way to constrain both deep-time tidal model results and reconstructions, by combining palaeoecology with sedimentology. We compare new palaeo-tidal model simulations for the Cambrian period, significant for the early origin and radiation of major animal fauna, to tidal proxies. One of the most abundant soft-bodied organisms preserved during this time are cnidarian medusae (jellyfish). A total of 17 cnidarian medusae localities were obtained through the literature, which had an adequate global distribution and occurred at regular intervals throughout the period of study. In some locations there were also estimates of palaeo-tidal range. Our results show a good agreement between the simulations and proxy data. In the few locations where there is disagreement, it is proposed that the palaeogeographic reconstructions are missing details, e.g., island chains, and our results allow for the palaeogeographic reconstructions to be improved. The proxy method presented is promising and can be applied to other time-periods with different marine fossils, particularly at evolutionary and extinction periods where the marginal marine environment is of importance.

The shape of density-dependence governs species persistence, and ecosystem stability. Yet, whether per-capita growth declines sublinearily, or superlinearily with density remains hotly debated. Growth rates across the tree of life have been shown to decline sublinearly with density, whereas theory founded on resource competition predicts the opposite. Here, we resolve this discrepancy and show that sublinearity can readily emerge from geometric constraints on consumer interactions. By linking inter individual spacing, movement and interference rates, we derive two limiting-interference regimes, one of which the well-mixed limit recovers the form of classic Beddington DeAngelis interference response. We then developed an individual-based model from first principles which reproduces the derived sublinearity response, and further use empirical data from published consumer-resource experiments that also bears the signature of sublinear density-dependence. Further, embedding the interference mechanisms underlying the emergence of sublinear density-dependence in coexistence theory opens a new regime for species coexistence where classical theory fails to predict. Our framework indicates that non-consumptive interactions are not merely a correction to resource competition but might be a distinct axis along which diverse communities may potentially coexist.

BACKGROUND: An individual's adaptation to threatening environments under uncertainty is reflected in stress responses. Predictability (the ability to anticipate events) and controllability (the ability to control outcomes) are central to how one adapts, yet their joint influence on aversive learning remains unclear. METHODS: Thirty healthy adults completed a probabilistic aversive learning task in which cue-outcome contingencies varied across levels of predictability and controllability, i.e. whether shock intensity depended on prediction accuracy. Prediction accuracy, reaction time, subjective stress ratings, and skin conductance responses were recorded throughout. Trial-wise learning dynamics were estimated using the Volatile Kalman Filter. RESULTS: Prediction accuracy reduced as environments became less predictable and negatively associated with higher learning rates across predictability levels, with the strongest relationship observed in highly predictable blocks. Skin conductance responses showed that moderately predictable environments elicited responses like those in highly predictable environments when accurate predictions reduced shock intensity, but resembled responses in unpredictable environments when shock intensity was uncontrollable. Model comparison revealed a double dissociation between subjective stress ratings and skin conductance responses. Subjective ratings were best explained by model-derived volatility when prediction accuracy determined shock intensity and by belief uncertainty when it was independent of prediction accuracy, whereas skin conductance responses showed the reverse pattern. Reaction times were best explained by belief uncertainty when predictions influenced shock intensity. Higher anxiety was associated with elevated learning rates in highly and moderately predictable blocks when predictions did not control shock intensity.

Hydrozoa is a group of relatively simple animals with a well-developed nervous system. The nervous system in all hydrozoan medusae is highly conserved and includes outer and inner nerve rings at the bell margin, a neural network in the manubrium, and radial neural pathways that connect them. However, one element of the nervous system shows substantial variability among species: the subumbrella neural network. We examined the structure of the nervous and muscular systems in the subumbrella of 14 species of hydrozoan medusae. The main conclusion of this study is that the distribution of neural networks in the subumbrella strongly correlates with the distribution of smooth radial muscles. This correlation suggests that smooth radial muscles are the primary target of the subumbrella nervous system. Most species in the order Anthoathecata show a trend toward secondary loss of the neural networks and radial smooth muscle fibers in the subumbrella region, concentrating neural elements and smooth muscles only in the radial pathways along the radial canals. By contrast, all studied species in the order Leptothecata have neural networks in the subumbrella area, as well as radial smooth muscle fibers spread throughout the entire subumbrella region. The correlation between radial smooth muscles and the nervous system is also observed in the radial pathways along the radial canals. All species with thick bundles of smooth radial muscles along the radial canals have clearly defined, dense neural pathways running along or even embedded within the smooth muscle bundles.

Tissue regeneration requires careful allocation of metabolic resources, yet how organisms adjust this allocation in response to varying amounts of tissue loss remains poorly understood. Here, we show that the regenerative metabolic response is not fixed: the size of an injury regulates how glucose is allocated at both local and organism-wide levels. We first demonstrate that tail regeneration requires glucose metabolism in the axolotl (Ambystoma mexicanum), a salamander capable of regenerating centimetre-scale tissues. We then mapped glucose uptake in axolotls regenerating from small or large tail injuries using positron emission tomography/magnetic resonance imaging (PET/MRI) and the radiolabelled glucose analogue [18F]FDG. Glucose uptake was elevated in regenerating tails compared to uninjured tails. During early regeneration, larger injuries induced higher glucose uptake than smaller injuries, correlating with faster regenerative outgrowth. Larger injuries also increased glucose uptake in distant organs, indicating a systemic metabolic response. Together, our findings suggest that metabolic responses tuned to injury size underlie faithful tissue regeneration and establish PET/MRI as a powerful approach for studying whole-body metabolic dynamics in large regenerating vertebrates.

Infections with bacteria which have evolved multi-drug resistance (MDR) cause millions of deaths worldwide. Large-scale efforts are gathering genotypic and phenotypic data on MDR bacteria, but methods for learning the structure, diversity, and predictors of evolutionary pathways to MDR have yet to take full advantage of these data. Here, we use evolutionary accumulation modelling (EvAM), an emerging class of machine learning methods with roots in cancer progression, to infer these evolutionary pathways across ESKAPEE pathogens (seven bacterial species that dominate health burdens), using a database of over 635k genotyped phenotypic observations from around the world. We identify global patterns in MDR evolutionary pathways, remarkably shared across multiple ESKAPEE species. Species-specific deviations from these stereotypical pathways are connected with geographical and demographic covariates, facilitating predictions of future MDR evolution. We verify these predictions with several hundred new phenotypes from ESKAPEE samples spanning decades of clinical infections in sub-Saharan Africa, demonstrating the capacity to forecast future MDR evolution from these inferred shared pathways.

Marine diatoms contribute to about 20% of global primary production. We present the first basin-scale, multiyear assessment of diatom communities in the North Pacific, combining taxonomically high-resolution RuBisCO large subunit gene (rbcL) metabarcoding with concurrent environmental measurements. Using a nine-year time series of daily samples resolved at the species level via ~500 bp rbcL fragments, we performed multivariate analyses across biogeographic provinces, identifying significant correlations between community structure and environmental drivers such as temperature and macronutrient availability. We report the prevalence of a previously overlooked centric diatom species in the North Pacific, Eunotogramma lunatum, which appears to be near-dominant even in subarctic high-nitrate, low-chlorophyll waters where pennate diatoms are typically favored. These results demonstrate the power of rbcL for large-scale ocean monitoring and provide a critical baseline for future studies of diatom population dynamics, climate change impacts, and ecosystem resilience in a key marine region.

Viral infection is a major yet poorly quantified driver of microbial interactions and biogeochemical fluxes in the ocean. In diatoms, which are key contributors to marine primary production, the extent to which viruses reprogram host cell metabolism and alter elemental cycling remains largely unresolved. Here, we investigated how infection by a lytic single-stranded RNA virus reshapes carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) fluxes in the ecologically relevant nanoplanktonic diatom Mediolabrus comicus. Using controlled infection experiments coupled with flow cytometry, electron microscopy, PAM fluorimetry, and stable isotope probing, we resolved infection-driven changes from the population to the cellular scale. Infection induced rapid optical shifts and cellular reorganization, including the formation of membrane-bound viral replication compartments. These changes coincided with early impairment of plastidial functions, as shown by disruption of photosystem II functionality and a concomitant decline in photosynthetic carbon fixation. In contrast, nitrogen uptake was maintained and strongly enhanced during late stages of infection, indicating sustained resource acquisition to support viral replication. This decoupling led to dynamic changes in cellular stoichiometry and, overall, to substantial reductions in population-level carbon and nitrogen assimilation due to growth inhibition. Together, these findings demonstrate that diatom RNA virus infection reshapes host carbon and nitrogen metabolism, with cascading effects on elemental cycling. Our results identify diatom RNA viruses as important drivers of marine biogeochemical processes, with implications for primary production and the fate of organic matter in the ocean.

Mechanisms shaping population vulnerability to typhoon-related mortality remain poorly understood. Constructing a Bayesian spatio-temporal model, we linked 12.9 million deaths across Japan from 2010 to 2019 to population-weighted typhoon wind exposure and assessed effect modification by income, natural hazard vulnerability and healthcare access. Typhoon exposure was associated with 2,426 cumulative excess deaths [95% credible interval: 139, 4,632] among adults [&ge;]70 years, with mortality increasing within 0-1 weeks of exposure and more strongly in areas with limited healthcare access and greater hazard vulnerability. Among individuals <70 years, cumulative excess mortality was uncertain [781 deaths; -309 to 1,900], but delayed mortality increases were concentrated in lower-income and landslide-prone areas. These distinct patterns suggest that typhoon mortality reflects an interaction between acute exposure, demographic ageing and geographically uneven adaptive capacity, highlighting the need to incorporate local vulnerability into climate-resilient health systems.

Ecologists remotely track movement steps of animals (e.g., via global positioning systems) and use step selection functions to study the effect of environmental factors upon their movement decisions. Constructing such functions requires pairing each observed step with some number of unobserved but feasible comparison steps. Larger numbers of comparison steps generally yield better estimates but also incur potentially challenging computational demands. Thus, it is important to determine an appropriate number of comparison steps. No established guidance exists for this decision. Here, we use simulated tracks to assess how many comparison steps are needed, fitting each set of steps to a conditional logistic regression model. We monitor errors in estimated effects for several classes of tracks, identifying the number of comparison steps for which mean relative absolute error in estimated effects is consistently low. By this criterion, 32 comparison steps per observed step are needed for our primary class of simulated tracks. Tracks in more homogeneous landscapes, tracks with shorter mean step lengths, or shorter tracks generally require more comparison steps (ranging from 64 to 128 per observed step) to achieve the same level of accuracy. Longer tracks generally require fewer comparison steps (16 per observed step). These results clearly demonstrate that the number of comparison steps influences how well step selection functions estimate covariate effects and provides initial direction in a research area that currently lacks quantitative guidance. Movement ecologists should take care when selecting the number of comparison steps paired with each observed step because those decisions matter.