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Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

The Royal Society

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences's content profile, based on 341 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.28% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Social mobility and long-term episodic memory in Britain

Tampubolon, G.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350709 medRxiv
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Population ageing increases the importance of cognitive capacity for making decisions about retirement and living independently beyond it. We tested whether post-war educational expansion and working-life social mobility eliminate the association between social class of origin and cognition in early old age using the 1958 National Child Development Study. Two outcomes were analysed at age 62: standard episodic memory (immediate + delayed word recall) and long-term episodic memory, capturing accurate half-century recall of childhood household facts (rooms and people at age 11 validated against mothers' responses). Social mobility trajectories derived in prior work were classified into predominantly manual versus non-manual class trajectories. Models were estimated separately for women and men across three specifications: (i) social origin and controls, (ii) adding social mobility, and (iii) adding weighting to address healthy survivor bias. Education was consistently associated with both outcomes. For long-term episodic memory, social origin gradients were clearer than for short-term episodic memory, with men from service/professional origins showing a 13 percentage-point higher probability of accurate half-century recall than men from manual origins. These findings indicate that education expansion and working-life social mobility failed to release the grip of social origin on long-term episodic memory.

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The lingering legacy: Resilience mediates the long-term impact of organisational support on police retirement adjustment

Vaportzis, E.; Edwards, W.

2026-04-11 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26349526 medRxiv
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This study investigated retirement adjustment in retired police officers in the UK (N = 289), examining how time since leaving the service moderates the relationship between perceived organisational support and retirement adjustment while accounting for resilience. Results indicated a developmental trend: organisational support remains stable initially but becomes increasingly influential in later life. Using Johnson-Neyman analysis, a threshold of 32.07 years was identified, after which the association reaches statistical significance. These findings suggest an organisational legacy effect; for the older generation, the retrospective perception of being valued by the service acts as a durable psychological resource. This study offers a novel conceptualisation of long-term organisational influence by identifying a temporally delayed legacy effect that extends beyond existing models of retirement adjustment. The study advocate for lifelong wellbeing strategies that extend, recognising that the organisational relationship continues to shape adjustment outcomes decades after the conclusion of active duty.

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Modelling serological cross-reactivity to disentangle the dynamics of West Nile and Usutu viruses in an emerging area

Bastard, J.; Migne, C.; Helle, T.; Agneray, E.; Bigeard, C.; Boudjadi, Y.; Chevrier, M.; Dumarest, M.; Gondard, M.; Martin-Latil, S.; Mathews-Martin, L.; Petit, T.; Charpentier, T.; Pouillevet, H.; Durand, B.; Metras, R.; Gonzalez, G.

2026-04-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350295 medRxiv
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Zoos may serve as sentinel sites for zoonotic vector-borne diseases. West Nile virus (WNV) and Usutu virus (USUV) are closely related orthoflaviviruses transmitted between Culex mosquitoes and a bird reservoir. Both viruses can also infect mammals, including humans, where they may cause symptoms and, more rarely, hospitalization and death. However, serological cross-reactivity between WNV and USUV complicates their differential diagnosis. Here, we aimed to reconstruct the dynamics of emergence of WNV in a zoo located in a newly affected area in Europe, using ELISA and Virus Neutralization Test (VNT) serological analysis of 1707 animal sera collected between 2015 and 2024. Combining this data in a model accounting for cross-reactivity with USUV, we estimated yearly forces of infection (FOI) by both viruses, and thus found that WNV likely circulated in the area one year prior to the first cases reported to the passive surveillance system. Our results also showed that, in the zoo, mammals and reptiles had a lower risk of infection than birds (relative risk of 0.14 [0.05; 0.28]), and that the exposure of birds to water (aquatic lifestyle or proximity to stagnant water) affected the risk. Finally, we estimated diagnosis parameters, including the sensitivity of the VNT (80.4% [76.5%; 84.3%]), the expected VNT titer value, and the level of serological cross-reactivity between viruses during the VNT. To conclude, our modelling framework allowed to disentangle the co-circulation of two closely related viruses, a crucial point in ensuring the reliable sentinel surveillance of these vector-borne zoonotic pathogens.

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A Multi-Clique Network Model for Epidemic Spread with Fully Accessible Within-Group and Limited Between-Group Contacts

Smah, M. L.; Seale, A. C.; Rock, K. S.

2026-04-11 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350390 medRxiv
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Network-based epidemic models have been instrumental in understanding how contact structure shapes infectious disease dynamics, yet widely used frameworks such as Erd[o]s-Renyi, configuration-model, and stochastic block networks do not explicitly capture the combination of fully accessible (saturated) within-group interactions and constrained between-group connectivity characteristic of many real-world settings. Here, we introduce the Multi-Clique (MC) network model, a generative framework in which individuals are organised into fully connected cliques representing stable contact groups (e.g., households, classrooms, or workplaces), with a limited number of external connections governing inter-group transmission. Using stochastic susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) simulations on degree-matched networks, we compare epidemic dynamics on MC networks with those on classical random graph models. Despite having an identical mean degree, MC networks exhibit systematically distinct behaviour, including slower epidemic growth, reduced peak prevalence, increased fade-out probability, and delayed time to peak. These effects arise from rapid within but constrained between clique transmission, creating structural bottlenecks that standard models do not capture. The MC framework provides an interpretable, data-driven representation of recurrent contact structure, with parameters that map directly to observable quantities such as household and classroom sizes. By isolating the role of intergroup connectivity, the model offers a basis for evaluating targeted intervention strategies that reduce between-group mixing while preserving within-group interactions. Our results highlight the importance of explicitly representing the real-life clique-based network structure in epidemic models and suggest that classical degree-matched networks may systematically overestimate epidemic speed and intensity in structured populations.

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Noisy periodicity in tropical respiratory disease dynamics

Yang, F.; Hanks, E. M.; Conway, J. M.; Bjornstad, O. N.; Thanh, N. T. L.; Boni, M. F.; Servadio, J. L.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350660 medRxiv
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Infectious disease surveillance systems in tropical countries show that respiratory disease incidence generally manifests as year-round activity with weak fluctuations and irregular seasonality. Previously, using a ten-year time series of influenza-like illness (ILI) collected from outpatient clinics in Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC), Vietnam, we found a combination of nonannual and annual signals driving these dynamics, but with unknown mechanisms. In this study, we use seven stochastic dynamical models incorporating humidity, temperature, and school term to investigate plausible mechanisms behind these annual and nonannual incidence trends. We use iterated filtering to fit the models and evaluate the models by comparing how well they replicate the combination of annual and nonannual signals. We find that a model including specific humidity, temperature, and school term best fits our observed data from HCMC and partially reproduces the irregular seasonality. The estimated effects from specific humidity and temperature on transmission are nonlinearly negative but weak. School dismissal is associated with decreased transmission, but also with low magnitude. Under these weak external drivers, we hypothesize that stochasticity makes a strong sub-annual cycle more likely to be observed in ILI disease dynamics. Our study shows a possible mechanism for respiratory disease dynamics in the tropics. When the external drivers are weak, the seasonality of respiratory disease dynamics is prone to the influence of stochasticity.

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Explainable machine learning for revisiting reported Irritable Bowel Syndrome correlates in a student cohort

Ramirez-Lopez, L.; Kang, P.

2026-04-15 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350820 medRxiv
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Irritable Bowel Syndrome (IBS) affects a substantial proportion of university students, yet its factors remain incompletely characterised in South Asian populations. We reanalysed a publicly available dataset of 550 Bangladeshi students from Hasan et al. (2025), conducting a data audit that identified implausible records, including males reporting menstrual symptoms, and reduced the analytic sample to 506 observations. Using Explainable Boosting Machines (EBMs), which capture non-linear effects and pairwise interactions without sacrificing interpretability, we found that psychological distress, elevated BMI and academic dissatisfaction were the strongest predictors of IBS (mean AUC = 0.852 across 100 stratified train-test splits). Critically, several findings diverged from the original logistic regression analysis. Physical activity showed a non-linear risk pattern only at high intensity, the association with gender was substantially weaker when we accounted for metabolic and psychological factors as well and malnourishment does not have a strong an impact as in the original study. These divergences likely arise because the machine-learning model captures non-linear effects and interactions that were not represented in the original regression specification. Our findings underscore the value of reanalysing existing datasets with methods suited to capturing complexity and highlight data quality verification as a necessary step in the secondary analysis.

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Dengue risk perception and public preferences for vector control in Italy and France: utility and regret-based choice experiments

Andrei, F.; Tizzoni, M.; Veltri, G. A.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350604 medRxiv
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Background: Dengue is rapidly emerging in parts of Europe. How households value vector control attributes, and whether inferences depend on decision models or message framing, is unclear. Methods: We conducted a split-ballot online experiment among adults in Italy and France, as well as a hotspot subsample from Marche, Italy. National samples included 1,505 respondents in Italy and 1,501 in France; 183 respondents were recruited in Marche. Participants were randomised to a discrete choice experiment (random utility maximisation) or a regret-based choice experiment (random regret minimisation) and to one of three pre-task messages (control, loss aversion, community values). Each respondent completed 12 choice tasks comparing two dengue control programmes and an opt-out. We estimated mixed logit and mixed random-regret models with random parameters and treatment effects. Results: Across frameworks, nearby cases and high mosquito prevalence were the dominant drivers of programme uptake, whereas cost and operational burden were secondary. In pooled analyses, loss-aversion messaging increased the weight on high mosquito prevalence in both models (from 0.483 to 0.547 in the utility model; from 0.478 to 0.557 in the regret model). Cost effects were small nationally but larger in the hotspot subsample. Conclusions: Risk salience dominates preferences for dengue vector control in these European settings. Random utility and random regret models yield consistent rankings of attributes but differ in behavioural interpretation and some secondary effects; messaging effects were modest and context dependent.

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GPS Mobility Tracking, Ecological Momentary Assessment, and Qualitative Interviewing to Specify How Space Produces Intersectional Health Inequities: Development and Pilot Testing of the Spatial Intersectionality Health Framework (SIHF) and IGEMA Methodology

Cook, S. H.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350546 medRxiv
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Background. Young sexual and gender minorities of color face compound health risks shaped by interlocking systems of racism, cisgenderism, and class inequality. Spatial health research documents that place shapes health, but existing methods cannot specify the mechanisms through which spatial configurations produce different health outcomes for differently positioned people. This gap prevents targeted intervention. ObjectiveTo develop and pilot test the Spatial Intersectionality Health Framework (SIHF), which specifies three mechanisms through which space produces intersectional health inequities: Layered (multiple oppressive systems activating simultaneously), Positional (the same space producing different health pathways by intersectional position), and Conditional (nominally protective spaces carrying hidden costs for specific positions). We also introduce and validate Intersectional Geographically-Explicit Ecological Momentary Assessment (IGEMA) as the methodology operationalizing SIHF across three data levels. MethodsThe GeoSense study enrolled 32 young sexual and gender minorities of color (ages 18-29) in New York City. IGEMA was implemented across three integrated levels: (1) GPS mobility tracking via participants personal smartphones, linked to census tract structural exposure indices across n=19 participants; (2) ecological momentary assessment of intersectional discrimination with multilevel modeling of mood, stress, and sleep outcomes; and (3) map-guided qualitative interviews with SIHF mechanism coding and intercoder reliability assessment across 92 coded records from 18 participants. This study was conducted as the pilot for NIH R01HL169503. ResultsAll three SIHF mechanisms were empirically detectable. A compound structural gendered racism index outperformed every single-axis alternative in predicting daily mood (b=-0.048, p=.001) and stress (b=0.121, p<.001). The Positional mechanism accounted for 71% of coded harm experiences. Intercoder reliability for mechanism assignment reached kappa=0.824 at Stage 2 reconciliation. Daily intersectional discrimination predicted greater sleep disturbance (b=1.308, p=.004). ConclusionsSIHF and IGEMA together provide an empirically testable framework for specifying how space produces intersectional health inequities. Mechanism specification, not spatial location alone, is the condition for designing research and intervention that reaches the source of harm for multiply marginalized populations.

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Female genital cutting and maternal attitudes about it: Testing a cultural disempowerment hypothesis

Strand, P. S.; Trang, J. C.

2026-04-16 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350909 medRxiv
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Female genital cutting (FGC) is identified within global health and human rights discourse as aligned with gender inequality and female disempowerment. The persistence of FGC in high-prevalence societies is assumed to reflect womens limited influence over decisions concerning their daughters. Yet anthropological research has questioned whether this interpretation adequately reflects how FGC is organized within practicing communities. Across two studies with 176,728 participants from 15 African and Asian countries, we examine whether mothers attitudes toward FGC predict daughters circumcision status and whether this relationship varies with regional FGC prevalence. Multilevel logistic regression models show that maternal attitudes strongly predict daughter circumcision status across both datasets. Contrary to expectations derived from disempowerment frameworks, the association between maternal attitudes and daughter outcomes is not weaker in high-prevalence contexts, it is stronger. These findings suggest that interpretations of FGC as reflecting female disempowerment may mischaracterize the social dynamics of societies in which FGC is common. Policy implications of the findings are discussed.

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Patient-Centred Communication in Lung Cancer Screening: A Clinically Focussed Evaluation of a Fine-Tuned Open-Source Model Against a Larger Frontier System

Khanna, S.; Chaudhary, R.; Narula, N.; Lee, R.

2026-04-11 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350595 medRxiv
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Lung cancer screening saves lives, yet uptake remains suboptimal and inequitable. Personalised communication can improve attendance and reduce anxiety, but scaling such support is a workforce challenge. We fine-tuned Googles Gemma 2 9B using QLoRA on 5,086 synthetic screening conversations and compared it against Googles Gemini 2.5 Flash (a larger frontier model) and an unmodified baseline across 300 multi-turn conversations with 100 patient personas spanning ten clinical categories. Evaluation combined automated natural language processing metrics with independent language model judgement in two complementary modes: structured clinical rubric and simulated patient persona. The fine-tuned model achieved the highest simulated patient experience score (3.71/5 vs 3.65 for the frontier model), recorded zero boundary violations after clinician review of all flagged instances, and led on the four most safety-critical categories. A composite Patient Adaptation Index showed that the fine-tuned model led overall (0.37 vs 0.35 vs 0.35), with its clearest advantage on the two clinically specific components: empathy calibration to patient distress and selective smoking cessation signposting. These findings suggest that targeted fine-tuning of open-source models can yield clinical communication quality comparable to larger proprietary systems, with advantages in safety-critical scenarios and suitability for NHS data governance constraints. Human clinician review of these conversations is ongoing.

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Frequency of bacterial STI testing amongst people accessing sexual health services in England, 2024: a cross-sectional analysis of national surveillance data

Baldry, G.; Harb, A.-K.; Findlater, L.; Ogaz, D.; Migchelsen, S. J.; Fifer, H.; Saunders, J.; Mohammed, H.; Sinka, K.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26349546 medRxiv
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ObjectivesWe determined the frequency of sexually transmitted infection (STI) testing among people accessing sexual health services (SHS) in England. MethodsWe assessed STI testing frequency in face-to-face and online SHSs in England using data from the GUMCAD STI surveillance system. We quantified different combinations of tests (e.g. single chlamydia test or full STI screen), number of tests completed in 2024 and test positivity by sociodemographic and behavioural characteristics, as well as clinical setting and outcomes. ResultsOverall, there were 2,222,028 attendances at SHS in England in 2024 that involved tests for chlamydia, gonorrhoea, syphilis and/or HIV. Most of these attendances involved tests for all four of these STIs. Most people accessing SHS in England tested once (80.1%), and a small minority (1.9%) tested at least quarterly (4+ times). Some groups had a comparably larger proportion of quarterly testers; these included gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM) (6.7%), London residents (3.6%), online testers (2.5%), people using HIV-PrEP (13%), and people with 5+ partners in the previous 3 months (10.6%). Only 10.5% of GBMSM reporting higher-risk sexual behaviours tested quarterly despite recommendations for quarterly testing in this group. ConclusionsThe majority of those who tested for STIs in England in 2024 only tested once. The minority who tested at least quarterly had a higher proportion of GBMSM, people using HIV-PrEP, London residents and people reporting higher risk behaviours. Quarterly testing often appears to be aligned with current testing recommendations in England; however, we also observed that only a low proportion of behaviourally high-risk GBMSM and HIV-PrEP users are meeting these recommendations. It is important to acknowledge groups with lower or higher testing frequency when developing interventions and updating guidelines related to STI testing. WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ON THIS TOPICThe effectiveness of asymptomatic testing for chlamydia and gonorrhoea in gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM), and the potential impact of the consequent increased antibiotic use on rising antimicrobial resistance and individual harm has recently been questioned. Testing and treatment remains a key pillar of STI prevention and management; despite this, there is limited evidence of STI testing frequency within sexual services (SHS) on a national level. WHAT THIS STUDY ADDSThis analysis shows that the majority of people attending SHSs in England in 2024 tested once, and only a small proportion of behaviourally high-risk people tested frequently. HOW THIS STUDY MIGHT AFFECT RESEARCH, PRACTICE OR POLICYAwareness of groups that are behaviourally high risk but testing infrequently is important to guide interventions and messaging regarding STI testing. The low levels of frequent testing, even among those who would be recommended quarterly testing under UK guidelines, provides important context for wider discussion around asymptomatic STI screening.

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Sexual risk behaviours following medical male circumcision: a matched pseudo-cohort analysis using population-based survey data

Mwakazanga, D. K.; daka, v.; Gwasupika, J. K.; Dombola, A. K.; Kapungu, K. K.; Khondowe, S.; Chongwe, G. K.; Fwemba, I.; Ogundimu, E.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350676 medRxiv
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Medical male circumcision (MMC) is an established HIV prevention intervention, yet concerns persist that circumcised men may adopt higher-risk sexual behaviours following the procedure. Evidence from observational studies has been inconsistent, partly because many analyses do not adequately distinguish behaviours that occur before circumcision from those that occur afterward. This study assessed the association between MMC and subsequent sexual behaviours while demonstrating how population-based cross-sectional survey data can be adapted to address this temporal challenge. We analysed nationally representative data from the 2024 Zambia Demographic and Health Survey (ZDHS), including men aged 15 - 59 years who reported their circumcision status. Men who had undergone medical circumcision were compared with uncircumcised men using a matched pseudo-cohort framework that reconstructed temporal ordering based on age at circumcision. Propensity score overlap weighting was applied to improve comparability between circumcised and uncircumcised men, and odds ratios were estimated using logistic regression models incorporating overlap weights and accounting for the complex survey design. Sexual behaviour outcomes occurring after circumcision included condom non-use at last sexual intercourse, multiple sexual partners in the past 12 months, self-reported sexually transmitted infection (STI) symptoms, and composite measures of sexual risk behaviour. The analysis included 9,609 men, of whom 33.3% were medically circumcised. MMC was associated with lower odds of condom non-use at last sexual intercourse (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67 - 0.85) and lower odds of reporting any sexual risk behaviour (aOR = 0.83, 95% CI: 0.72 - 0.95). No meaningful associations were observed between MMC and reporting multiple sexual partners, self-reported STI symptoms, or higher levels of composite sexual risk behaviour. In this population-based study, MMC was not associated with sexual risk compensation under routine programme conditions within the overlap population defined by the weighting scheme, supporting the behavioural safety of MMC and illustrating the value of explicitly addressing temporality when analysing behavioural outcomes using cross-sectional survey data.

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Structural barriers to social protection and HIV prevention services for sex workers in Southeast Asia: a fixed-effects panel data analysis, 2018-2025

Hung, J.; Smith, A.

2026-04-16 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350700 medRxiv
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Introduction. Empirical evidence linking specific national structural policies to the provision of key HIV services in low- and middle-income settings remains scarce. This study addresses the research gap by quantifying the within-country relationships between six national structural policy indicators and the presence of the HIV prevention service component targeted at sex workers in Southeast Asia. Methods. We constructed a balanced panel dataset covering eight Southeast Asian countries from 2018 to 2025 from the UNAIDS Global AIDS Monitoring (GAM) framework. We used Fixed-Effects (FE) and Random-Effects (RE) models to analyse the relationships, with the FE model selected as the more statistically appropriate estimator. We enhanced robustness by using clustered standard errors and one-period lagged explanatory variables. Results. The primary finding from the FE model indicated a statistically significant and positive contemporaneous association between the existence of legal or administrative barriers to social protection (barriers_spi,t) and the presence of HIV prevention services for sex workers ({beta} = 0.8531; p < 0.001). However, the robustness check revealed a statistically significant negative association between the two when using the lagged barrier variable (barriers_spi,t-1), suggesting a decline in HIV prevention service availability over time ({beta} = -0.3540; p < 0.05). We did not find any other policy variable's coefficient to be statistically significant in the FE models. Conclusions. While the immediate recognition (contemporaneous effect) of structural barriers to access social protection may occur alongside prioritised HIV prevention service provision, the sustained presence of these impediments acts as a long-term constraint that undermines the effectiveness and sustainability of targeted HIV programmes. National HIV programmes must urgently prioritise the removal of structural barriers to ensure long-term service stability for key populations.

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Intersectoral collaboration and community voice in a marginalized neighbourhood: A longitudinal social network analysis

van Lammeren, R.; Schalk, J.; van der Pas, S.; Bussemaker, J.

2026-04-11 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350579 medRxiv
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In this article we argue that intersectoral collaboration is ultimately manifested at the neighbourhood level, where professionals from diverse sectors engage in a joint network to improve population health outcomes. To strengthen intersectoral collaboration in neighbourhoods with low SES, it is crucial to include the community voice, representing diverse citizens who must be heard and engaged in decision-making processes. This study aims to contribute to the literature of intersectoral collaboration by exploring how networks emerge and evolve over time. We focus on the development of the roles of citizens in the professional network and diverse sectoral involvement within a local network of the team called The Connectors, in a neighbourhood with low socioeconomic scores (SESs). Methodologically, we use a combination of social network analysis (SNA) and action research. Results show that the network expanded significantly over time, both in terms of the number of actors and the diversity of sectors involved. At both measurement points T1 and T2, the majority of collaborations occurred across sectoral boundaries. By the second measurement, the proportion of intersectoral relationships had increased. This indicates that as the network expanded, new collaborations were not confined to existing sectoral clusters but increasingly bridged different sectors. The dual role that citizens have taken on during the development of the network, serving both as community voice representatives and professionals, can be empowering, offering pathways for personal growth and career advancement. However, it also introduces complexity, as these individuals may experience tensions between personal commitments and professional responsibilities. To enable network development, policies should allow room beyond standard protocols and organizational silos, as well as provide sufficient time for relationships and structures to mature. Although network building is a gradual and complex process, once established, these networks can play a pivotal role in delivering integrated and responsive care.

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Effect of a sanitation intervention on the nutritional status of children in Maputo, Mozambique: a controlled before-and-after trial

Knee, J.; Sumner, T.; Adriano, Z.; Opondo, C.; Holcomb, D.; Viegas, E.; Nala, R.; Brown, J.; Cumming, O.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350506 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe rapid growth of the worlds urban population has contributed to the expansion of informal urban settlements in many cities across the world. In these settings, lack of safe sanitation combined with high population density and poverty contributes to heightened health risks for often vulnerable populations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of a shared, onsite sanitation intervention on the nutritional status of children in Maputo, Mozambique. MethodsThe Maputo Sanitation (MapSan) trial was a controlled before-and-after study to evaluate the effect of a shared, onsite sanitation intervention on child health in Maputo, Mozambique. Here, we report the effects on childhood stunting, wasting and underweight, and height-for-age, weight-for-height and weight-for-age z-scores. Children were enrolled aged 1-48 months at baseline and outcomes were measured before and 12 and 24 months after the intervention, with concurrent measurement among children in a comparable control arm. The primary analysis was intention-to-treat. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02362932. ResultsWe enrolled 757 and 852 children in the intervention and control groups respectively. There was no evidence for an effect of the intervention on any outcome at 12 or 24 months of follow-up except for wasting where there was very weak evidence for an effect (adjusted prevalence ratio: 0.497; 95% CI: 0.22-1.11; p=0.09). In two exploratory analyses - one including only those children born into compounds post-intervention and a second excluding children in control compounds which had independently improved their sanitation facilities during follow-up - we found that stunting increased in the intervention group whilst wasting decreased. ConclusionsThis study contributes to the growing evidence on the role of sanitation in shaping child health outcomes in informal urban settlements. We found no evidence for an effect on stunting and weak evidence for an effect on wasting. More research is needed to understand how sanitation can reduce childhood undernutrition in complex urban environments.

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Analytical Choices Impact the Estimation of Rhythmic and Arrhythmic Components of Brain Activity

da Silva Castanheira, J.; Landry, M.; Fleming, S. M.

2026-04-11 neuroscience 10.1101/2025.09.24.678322 medRxiv
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Brain activity comprises both rhythmic (periodic) and arrhythmic (aperiodic) components. These signal elements vary across healthy aging, and disease, and may make distinct contributions to conscious perception. Despite pioneering techniques to parameterize rhythmic and arrhythmic neural components based on power spectra, the methodology for quantifying rhythmic activity remains in its infancy. Previous work has relied on parametric estimates of rhythmic power extracted from specparam, or estimates of rhythmic power obtained after detrending neural spectra. Variation in analytical choices for isolating brain rhythms from background arrhythmic activity makes interpreting findings across studies difficult. Whether these current approaches can accurately recover the independent contribution of these neural signal elements remains to be established. Here, using simulation and parameter recovery approaches, we show that power estimates obtained from detrended spectra conflate these two neurophysiological components, yielding spurious correlations between spectral model parameters. In contrast, modelled rhythmic power obtained from specparam, which detrends the power spectra and parametrizes brain rhythms, independently recovers the rhythmic and arrhythmic components in simulated neural time series, minimising spurious relationships. We validate these methods using resting-state recordings from a large cohort. Based on our findings, we recommend modelled rhythmic power estimates from specparam for the robust independent quantification of rhythmic and arrhythmic signal components for cognitive neuroscience.

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Testing trajectories for GetCheckedOnline in British Columbia: Implications for equity, stewardship and sustainability of digital STI testing services

Iyamu, I. O.; Haag, D.; Bartlett, S.; Worthington, C.; Grace, D.; Gilbert, M.

2026-04-14 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350729 medRxiv
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Background Digital services for sexually transmitted and blood borne infection (STBBI) testing may influence demand in publicly funded health systems by enabling low barrier, self-directed access to testing, raising concerns about repeated use and sustainability. We examined longitudinal utilization of GetCheckedOnline, British Columbias digital STBBI testing service, to characterize testing trajectories and assess factors associated with higher intensity use. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study using GetCheckedOnline program data for users who created an account between April 2020 and November 2022, with 24 months of follow-up. We used group-based trajectory modelling to identify patterns of testing over time among (1) all users and (2) users with at least one test. Multilevel regression models with local health area random intercepts were used to examine associations between higher intensity trajectory membership, individual risk indicators, and geographic clustering. Results Among 34,228 users, 22,542 (65.9%) completed at least one test and 42,451 tests were conducted (median 1; range 0-44). Two trajectories were identified in both analytic samples, with a minority demonstrating sustained higher intensity testing. The top 10% of users accounted for 39.6% of tests. Higher intensity trajectory membership was associated with sexual risk indicators including having multiple partners, condomless sex with multiple partners, and prior STBBI diagnosis. Geographic clustering across local health areas was modest in the null model (ICC 0.042) and attenuated with adjustment. Conclusion GetCheckedOnline utilization reflects a prevention-oriented pattern that appears more consistent with service needs than indiscriminate overuse. A small subset of users with elevated sexual risk account for higher-intensity testing. Findings support risk aligned stewardship including education and differentiated guidance, rather than universal restrictions to reducing testing volumes.

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Longitudinal modelling of clonal hematopoiesis reveals altered early clonal dynamics in people with HIV

Timonina, V.; Fellay, J.; the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS),

2026-04-12 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350407 medRxiv
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Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) is an age-associated condition linked to chronic inflammation and an increased risk of cardiovascular diseases and hematological malignancies. People with HIV (PWH) exhibit a higher prevalence of CHIP than the general population, but the mechanisms underlying this association remain unclear. In particular, it is unknown whether the excess burden of CHIP reflects earlier emergence of mutant clones, altered clonal expansion dynamics, or differences in selective pressures acting on hematopoietic stem cells. We reconstructed longitudinal trajectories of CHIP variant allele frequency (VAF) in 52 PWH using serial peripheral blood samples spanning up to 25 years from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study. We used spline-based modelling to estimate clone size and growth dynamics, and dynamic time warping to identify common trajectory patterns. Associations between clonal dynamics and longitudinal immune parameters were assessed using linear mixed-effects models. Trajectories in PWH were compared with publicly available longitudinal CHIP data from the SardiNIA population cohort. We identified heterogeneous clonal dynamics consistent with known gene-specific fitness patterns. Larger clone size was associated with lower CD4 T-cell count and lower CD4/CD8 ratio. Compared with the general population cohort, PWH showed higher VAF across the observed age range and steeper early trajectory increases, while long-term expansion rates were broadly similar. Greater variability in clonal dynamics among PWH suggests a stronger contribution of host environmental factors to clonal fitness. These findings support a model in which HIV-associated immune dysregulation alters the hematopoietic fitness landscape, contributing to earlier detectable clonal expansion and increased burden of CHIP in PWH.

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Loneliness, Functional Rurality, and Wearable-Measured Physical Activity and Sleep in the All of Us Research Program

Yang, S.; Wu, J.; Klimentidis, Y. C.; Sbarra, D. A.

2026-04-11 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350412 medRxiv
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Loneliness--the perceived discrepancy between desired and actual social connection--is a common and aversive psychological state associated with a range of adverse health outcomes. Several theoretical models suggest that these associations may operate partly through health behaviors. In this preregistered study, we used data from the All of Us Research Program to evaluate associations of loneliness and functional rurality (FR), a study-specific contextual index of reduced neighborhood accessibility, with Fitbit-derived physical activity and sleep outcomes. Final samples included 16,912 participants for physical activity analyses and 13,937 for sleep analyses. In adjusted models, higher FR was associated with greater loneliness ({beta} = 0.061, 95% CI [0.045, 0.077], p = 9.63 x 10-14). FR and loneliness were independently associated with fewer daily steps and lower moderate-to-vigorous physical activity. Loneliness was also associated with shorter sleep duration, greater sleep duration variability, higher odds of short sleep, and higher odds of low sleep efficiency. FR was not associated with sleep duration or sleep duration variability but showed a small positive association with mean sleep efficiency and lower odds of low sleep efficiency. Interaction analyses provided little evidence that FR modified the associations of loneliness with most outcomes, although the FR x loneliness interaction was significant for sleep duration variability, indicating that loneliness was more strongly associated with irregular sleep duration in higher-FR contexts. Sensitivity analyses using stricter valid-day thresholds, winsorization, quartile-based exposure coding, and a backward 30-day window yielded directionally similar findings. These results suggest that FR and loneliness are independently associated with lower physical activity, whereas loneliness shows a more consistent relationship with adverse sleep patterns.

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Non-genetic component of height as a surrogate marker for childhood socioeconomic position and its association with cardiovascular and brain health: results from HCHS/SOL

Moon, J.-Y.; Filigrana, P.; Gallo, L. C.; Perreira, K. M.; Cai, J.; Daviglus, M.; Fernandez-Rhodes, L. E.; Garcia-Bedoya, O.; Qi, Q.; Thyagarajan, B.; Tarraf, W.; Wang, T.; Kaplan, R.; Isasi, C. R.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350438 medRxiv
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Childhood socioeconomic position (SEP) can have lifelong effects on health. Many studies have used adult height as a surrogate marker for early-life conditions. In this study, we derived the non-genetic component of height, calculated as the residual from sex-specific standardized height regressed on genetically predicted height, as a surrogate for childhood SEP, using data from the Hispanic Community Healthy Study/Study of Latinos (2008-2011). A positive residual would indicate favorable early-life conditions promoting growth, while a negative residual indicates early-life adversity that may stunt the development. The height residual was associated with early-life variables such as parental education, year of birth, US nativity and age at first migration to the US (50 states/DC), supporting the validity of height residual as a surrogate for early-life conditions. Furthermore, a height residual was positively associated with better cardiovascular health (CVH) and cognitive function among middle-aged and older adults. Interestingly, among <35 years old, the height residual was negatively associated with the "Lifes Essential 8" clinical CVH scores. These results suggest the non-genetic component of height as a surrogate for childhood environment, with predictive value for CVH and cognitive function.